13, మార్చి 2011, ఆదివారం

Jagan’s party - threat to whom? – Bhandaru Srinivasrao

Jagan’s party - threat to whom? – Bhandaru Srinivasrao




At last, the former Congress MP from Kadapa and son of former chief minister Y S Rajasekhara Reddy, has launched his much trumpeted YSR Congress Party and unveiled the flag.
The timing of the launch and unveiling flag at Idupalapaya, the family estate, where YSR, who died in chopper crash, was laid to rest, looks perfect as it happens to be on eve of elections to state legislative council. Though the young scion had to drop addressing a public meeting after the formal unveils of the party flag along with his politician mother due to election code, he did drop enough hints to his supporters to start training their guns against Kiran Kumar Reddy-led Congress government.
For Kiran Kumar Reddy, the council polls will prove first litmus test, especially when rumors are rife that rebels all set to cause embarrassment in his native Chittoor district. Apart from CM's native Chittoor and his bete noir Jagan's Kadapa, the other districts where the ruling party nominees are placed vulnerably are the two Godavari districts (East and West), besides politically most volatile Krishna and Guntur. The party polls prospects also too precariously hanging in other parts of coastal Andhra Rayalaseema districts. Any upsets bound to have its bearing on the political future of Kirankumar as chief minster.
After the polls to Council, the immediate challenge that is staring at the Chief Minister is the two bypolls to Kadapa parliament and Pulivendla assembly. Both these are considered to be the strongholds of YSR family. But, the Congress, which succeeded in dividing the family by weaning away YSR brother Vivekananda Reddy and inducting him in Kiran's cabinet. The Congress party expects Viveka to spring a surprise by ensuring the defeat of his nephew and sister-in law in bypolls. But, the ground realities look quite opposite. At the most Viveka's candidature may reduce the victory margins of Jagan and his mother Vijayamma, but cannot prevent their victory march. Except for the three ministers from the district, the rank and file of the ruling Congress already crossed over to Jagan's camp. If the party faces electoral reversals in Council polls, then Viveka may as well opt out from the fight against his nephew and sister-in law in bypolls which are likely to be held after five state elections.
Back to Jagan's camp, analysts feel that support to the young scion seen dwindling. Only 12, including two of PRP legislators, took attending the flag unveiling function at Idupulapaya. What does it mean? Does Jagan enjoy support of only 10-12 legislators and two MPs? Why those who attended his earlier 'deekshas' or 'dharnas' on public issues choose to keep away now? Are they scared of party high command cracking the whip against them now as Jagan officially launched the party?
Or was it due to their inability to take a decision either way in the wake of stalemate on Telangana issue in the state?
However, Jagan appears to be unperturbed over how many legislators will join his bandwagon as he is depending solely on mass support, rather than number games. He determined to take the support of the people who will ultimately decide the future of his party, since his his crowd pulling ability is proved beyond doubt many a times on earlier occassions.
That apart, to whom the new party likely to pose serious threat – to ruling Congress? Or, main Opposition Telugu Desam? Or, to both? Or will vanish in thin air like yesteryear ‘mega star’ Chiranjeevi’s Praja Rajyam Party?
People of the state find answers themselves as results start unfolding with Council polls, followed by bypolls and thereafter. Till that time, he and his party will be a nightmare for all other parties.(13-03-2011)